Черный лебедь. Под знаком непредсказуемости
Шрифт:
Flammarion.
,1982,The Fractal Geometry of Nature. New York: W. H. Freeman
and Company.
,1997a,Fractales, hasard et finance. Paris: Flammarion.
,1997b,Fractals and Scaling in Finance: Discontinuity,
Concentration, Risk. New York: Springer-Verlag. Mandelbrot,Benoit, and Nassim Nicholas Taleb, 2006a,"A Focus
on the Exceptions That Prove the Rule." In Mastering Uncertainty:
Financial Times Series.
,2006b,"Matematica della sagessa." // Sole 24Ore, October 9.
,2007а,"RandomJumpNotRandomWalk."Manuscript.
,2007b,"Mildvs.WildRandomness:FocusingonRisks
thatMatter."ForthcominginFrankDiebold,NeilDoherty, andRichardHerring,eds.,The Known, the Unknown and the
> Unknowable in Financial Institutions. Princeton,N.J.:Princeton UniversityPress.
Mandler,J.M.,andL.McDonough,1998,"StudiesinInductive InferenceinInfancy."Cognitive Psychology 37:60-96.
Margalit,Avishai,2002,The Ethics of Memory. Cambridge,Mass.: HarvardUniversityPress.
Markowitz,Harry,1952,"PortfolioSelection."Journal of Finance (March):77-91.
,1959,Portfolio Selection: Efficient Diversification of Investments,
2nded.NewYork:Wiley.
Marmott,Michael,2004,The Status Syndrome: How Social Standing Affects Our Health and Longevity. London:Bloomsbury.
Marr,D.,1982,Vision. NewYork:W.H.FreemanandCompany.
Masters,John,1969,Casanova. NewYork:BernardGeisAssociates.
May,R.M.,1973,Stability and Complexity in Model Ecosystems. Princeton, N.J.:PrincetonUniversityPress.
May,R.S.,1986,"OverconfidenceasaResultofIncompleteandWrong Knowledge."InR.W.Scholz,ed.,Current Issues in West German Decision Research. FrankfurtamMain,Germany:Lang.
Mayseless,O.,andA.W.Kruglanski,1987,"WhatMakesYouSo Sure?EffectsofEpistemicMotivationsonJudgmentalConfidence. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 39:162-183.
McClelland,A.G.R.,andF.Bolger,1994,"TheCalibrationofSubjective Probabilities:TheoriesandModels,1980-1994."InG.Wrightand P.Ayton,eds.,Subjective Probability. Chichester,England:Wiley.
McCloskey,Deirdre,1990,If You're So Smart: The Narrative of Economic Expertise. Chicago:TheUniversityofChicagoPress.
,1992,"TheArtofForecasting:FromAncienttoModernTimes."
Cato Journal 12(1):23-43.
McClure,SamuelM.,DavidI.Laibson,GeorgeF.Loewenstein,and JonathanD.Cohen,2004,"SeparateNeuralSystemsValueImmediate andDelayedMonetaryRewards."Science 306(5695):503-507.
McManus,Chris,2002,Right Hand, Left Hand. London:OrionBooks.
McNees,StephenК.,1978,"RebuttalofArmstrong."Journal of Business 5i(4):573-577.
,1995,"AnAssessmentofthe'Official1EconomicForecasts."New
England Economic Review (July/August):13-23. McNeill,WilliamH.,1976,Plagues and Peoples. NewYork:Anchor
Books.
Medawar,Peter,1996,The Strange Case of the Spotted Mice and Other Classic Essays on Science. Oxford:OxfordUniversityPress.
Meehl,PaulE.,1954,Clinical Versus Statistical Predictions: A Theoretical Analysis and Revision of the Literature. Minneapolis:Universityof MinnesotaPress.
>1973,"WhyIDoNotAttendinCaseConferences."InPsy-
chodiagnosis: Selected Papers, 225-302.Minneapolis:Universityof
MinnesotaPress.»•»»iц.:*к.5.
Mendenhall,RichardR.,1991,"EvidenceofPossibleUnderweighting ofEarnings-relatedInformation."Journal of Accounting Research 29: 170-178.
Merton,R.K.,1968."TheMatthewEffectinScience."Science 159:56-
63.
,1973a,"TheMatthewEffectinScience."InN.Storer,ed.,The
Sociology of Science. Chicago:TheUniversityofChicagoPress.
,i973b,"TheNormativeStructureofScience."InN.Storer,ed.,
The Sociology of Science. Chicago:TheUniversityofChicagoPress.
,1988,"TheMatthewEffectII:CumulativeAdvantageandthe
SymbolismofIntellectualProperty."Isis 79:606-623. Merton,RobertC,1972,"AnAnalyticDerivationoftheEfficient
PortfolioFrontier."Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
7(4):1851-1872.
,1992,Continuous-Time Finance, 2nded.Cambridge,England:
Blackwell.
Merton,RobertK.,andElinorBarber,2004,The Travels and Adventures of Serendipity. Princeton,N.J.:PrincetonUniversityPress.
Mihailescu,Calin,2006,Lotophysics. Preprint,UniversityofWestern Ontario.
Mikhail,M.В.,В.R.Walther,andR.H.Willis,1999,"DoesForecast AccuracyMattertoSecurityAnalysts?"The Accounting Review 74(2): 185-200.
Mikhail,MichaelВ.,BeverlyR.Walther,andRichardH.Willis,1997, "DoSecurityAnalystsImproveTheirPerformancewithExperience?" Journal of Accounting Research 35:131-157.
Milgram,S.,1967,"TheSmallWorldProblem."Psychology Today 2: 60-67.
Mill,JohnStuart,i860,ASystem of Logic Ratiocinative and Inductive, Being a Connected View of the Principle of Evidence and the Methods of Scientific Investigation, 3rd ed.London:JohnW.Parker,WestStrand.
Miller,DaleТ.,andMichaelRoss,1975,"Self-ServingBiasesinAttributionofCausality:FactorFiction?"Psychological Bulletin 82(2): 213-225.
Miller,GeoffreyE,2000,The Mating Mind: How Sexual Choice Shaped
the Evolution of Human Nature. NewYork:Doubleday. Minsky,H.,1982,Can It Happen Again? Essays on Instability and Finance.
Armonk,N.Y.:M.E.Sharpe. Mitzenmacher,Michael,2003,"ABriefHistoryofGenerativeModels
forPowerLawandLognormalDistributions."Internet Mathematics
1(2):226-251.
Mohr,С,T.Landis,H.S.Bracha,andP.Brugger,2003,"Opposite TurningBehaviorinRighthandersandNon-right-handersSuggests aLinkBetweenHandednessandCerebralDopamineAsymmetries." Behavioral Neuroscience 117(6):1448-1452.
Mokyr,Joel,2002,The Gifts of Athena. Princeton,N.J.:PrincetonUniversityPress.
Montier,James,2007,Applied Behavioural Finance. Chichester,England:Wiley.
Moon,FrancisC,1992,Chaotic and Fractal Dynamics. NewYork:Wiley. Mossner,E.C,1970,The Life of David Hume. Oxford:ClarendonPress. Murphy,A.H.,andR.Winkler,1984,"ProbabilityForecastingin